Thermal wind forecast for Walchensee

Will the thermal wind kick in at Walchensee today?

For today, Oct 21, 2026

NO GO

100% daytime cloud + only 172 W/m² solar — no insolation to drive a thermal

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8.2 kt now
gust 11.9 kt
water 14.1 °C
⌀ 8.2 kt last-hour average → steady
15:16
81109:1915:1609:19 · avg 11.2 kt · gust 13.5 kt09:29 · avg 11.1 kt · gust 13.5 kt09:39 · avg 11.0 kt · gust 13.0 kt09:49 · avg 10.4 kt · gust 13.0 kt09:59 · avg 10.5 kt · gust 13.5 kt10:07 · avg 9.8 kt · gust 11.9 kt10:19 · avg 11.1 kt · gust 13.5 kt10:29 · avg 10.7 kt · gust 13.5 kt10:39 · avg 11.3 kt · gust 14.6 kt10:49 · avg 11.2 kt · gust 14.6 kt10:59 · avg 10.9 kt · gust 14.6 kt11:09 · avg 10.4 kt · gust 13.5 kt11:19 · avg 10.2 kt · gust 13.5 kt11:29 · avg 9.0 kt · gust 13.5 kt11:39 · avg 10.2 kt · gust 13.0 kt11:49 · avg 9.0 kt · gust 13.5 kt11:59 · avg 8.7 kt · gust 11.9 kt12:09 · avg 9.3 kt · gust 13.5 kt12:19 · avg 8.3 kt · gust 11.9 kt12:29 · avg 9.7 kt · gust 13.0 kt12:39 · avg 8.8 kt · gust 13.0 kt12:49 · avg 10.2 kt · gust 15.1 kt12:59 · avg 10.3 kt · gust 13.0 kt13:05 · avg 10.6 kt · gust 13.5 kt15:16 · avg 8.2 kt · gust 11.9 kt
avg wind gust ignition (8 kt) session (11 kt)
🤖 ML — logistic experimental NO GO GO 17% · MAYBE 6% · NO GO 77%

Strongest inputs — (+) dew-point spread; (−) pressure Δ (thermik), morning solar.

🤖 ML — HGB · black box experimental NO GO GO 0% · MAYBE 0% · NO GO 100%

Most distinctive inputs: morning solar, daytime cloud, Innsbruck pressure.

Experimental shadow models — they never drive the verdict. How good are they? →

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