Walchi Oracle

Will the thermal wind kick in at Walchensee today?

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Live at Urfeld

0.8 kt now
gust 1.6 kt
βŒ€ 1.1 kt last-hour average β†’ steady
19:44
81113:4919:4413:49 Β· avg 8.2 kt Β· gust 10.8 kt13:59 Β· avg 8.1 kt Β· gust 10.3 kt14:09 Β· avg 9.3 kt Β· gust 10.8 kt14:19 Β· avg 8.1 kt Β· gust 10.3 kt14:29 Β· avg 8.2 kt Β· gust 11.9 kt14:39 Β· avg 6.8 kt Β· gust 10.3 kt14:49 Β· avg 8.5 kt Β· gust 13.0 kt14:59 Β· avg 8.2 kt Β· gust 11.9 kt15:09 Β· avg 8.4 kt Β· gust 10.8 kt15:19 Β· avg 8.5 kt Β· gust 11.9 kt15:29 Β· avg 8.1 kt Β· gust 10.3 kt15:39 Β· avg 8.0 kt Β· gust 10.3 kt15:49 Β· avg 7.7 kt Β· gust 10.3 kt15:59 Β· avg 8.8 kt Β· gust 10.8 kt16:09 Β· avg 6.6 kt Β· gust 9.2 kt16:19 Β· avg 4.8 kt Β· gust 7.6 kt16:29 Β· avg 3.8 kt Β· gust 8.6 kt16:39 Β· avg 3.1 kt Β· gust 8.6 kt16:49 Β· avg 4.8 kt Β· gust 10.3 kt16:59 Β· avg 3.4 kt Β· gust 4.9 kt17:09 Β· avg 2.4 kt Β· gust 4.3 kt17:19 Β· avg 4.2 kt Β· gust 7.6 kt17:29 Β· avg 3.4 kt Β· gust 6.5 kt17:39 Β· avg 2.5 kt Β· gust 4.3 kt17:49 Β· avg 2.5 kt Β· gust 4.3 kt17:59 Β· avg 2.0 kt Β· gust 4.3 kt18:09 Β· avg 1.8 kt Β· gust 3.2 kt18:19 Β· avg 0.4 kt Β· gust 1.6 kt18:29 Β· avg 0.0 kt Β· gust 0.0 kt18:39 Β· avg 0.0 kt Β· gust 0.0 kt18:49 Β· avg 0.3 kt Β· gust 1.6 kt18:59 Β· avg 0.2 kt Β· gust 1.6 kt19:09 Β· avg 1.7 kt Β· gust 2.2 kt19:19 Β· avg 1.6 kt Β· gust 2.2 kt19:29 Β· avg 1.6 kt Β· gust 2.2 kt19:39 Β· avg 1.4 kt Β· gust 2.2 kt19:44 Β· avg 0.8 kt Β· gust 1.6 kt
avg wind gust ignition (8 kt) session (11 kt)

MAYBE

peak solar radiation 345 W/mΒ² below 600

For Jun 7, 2026.

Last 30 days

Forecast
Actual (session β‰₯ 1 h)
Sat May 9 Sun Jun 7
session (β‰₯ 1 h β‰₯ 11 kt) marginal (β‰₯ 1 h β‰₯ 8 kt) no wind no data thunderstorm (excluded from calibration)
Previous forecast method

How the day was forecast at the time, before the rules were recalibrated β€” shown for comparison only.

RuleSignalReason
Pressure gradient (Munich βˆ’ Innsbruck)? go Ξ”=0.3 hPa β€” synoptic flow not opposing N-thermal
FΓΆhn (Bolzano βˆ’ Innsbruck)? go no FΓΆhn pressure signature (Ξ”=-1.0 hPa)
Overnight cooling? go clear night: 84% cloud cover
Solar radiation? no_go peak solar radiation 345 W/mΒ² below 600
Dew-point spread? maybe dew-point spread 2.7Β°C β€” marginal
Boundary-layer height? go boundary layer 1015 m β€” deep mixing
Ground moisture / rain? go dry ground (soil moisture 0.31 mΒ³/mΒ³)
Atmospheric stability? go LI -0.7…2.1 β€” stability in normal range
Daytime cloud cover? no_go 98% low cloud during the day β€” slopes shaded
Upper-level wind (850 / 700 hPa)? go upper wind from 299Β° @ 700 hPa 16 kt β€” neutral
Synoptic-flow override? go no overwhelming synoptic flow
Thermal ignition (live)? go ignited at Urfeld