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Wind curve at Urfeld
Jun 8, 2026
Will the thermal wind kick in at Walchensee today?
11 of 12 rules green.
How the day was forecast at the time, before the rules were recalibrated β shown for comparison only.
| Rule | Signal | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Pressure gradient (Munich β Innsbruck)? | go | Ξ=0.3 hPa β synoptic flow not opposing N-thermal |
| FΓΆhn (Bolzano β Innsbruck)? | go | no FΓΆhn pressure signature (Ξ=-1.0 hPa) |
| Overnight cooling? | go | clear night: 6% cloud cover |
| Solar radiation? | go | peak solar radiation 847 W/mΒ² β₯ threshold |
| Dew-point spread? | maybe | dew-point spread 4.1Β°C β marginal |
| Boundary-layer height? | go | boundary layer 1255 m β deep mixing |
| Ground moisture / rain? | go | dry ground (soil moisture 0.31 mΒ³/mΒ³) |
| Atmospheric stability? | go | LI -1.4β¦-0.4 β stability in normal range |
| Daytime cloud cover? | go | 0% low cloud β slopes in full sun |
| Upper-level wind (850 / 700 hPa)? | go | upper wind from 217Β° @ 700 hPa 12 kt β neutral |
| Synoptic-flow override? | go | no overwhelming synoptic flow |
| Thermal ignition (live)? | go | ignited at Urfeld |